Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 252.568978 285.367390 321.984901 366.115558 418.148132 477.901846 552.226887
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 203.636668 246.207731 298.059851 366.726021 456.579369 572.034745 734.746154
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 172.546969 217.409766 275.078657 356.186362 469.884967 627.679114 870.865900
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 150.973297 196.370649 257.227018 347.018161 480.156843 677.251370 1005.486063
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 140.464523 188.136813 254.588009 357.192986 517.835274 771.392035 1228.564240
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 129.678392 177.939808 247.433005 358.939980 541.902209 847.498834 1439.769993
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 118.635768 166.042740 236.159142 352.343042 550.737391 898.787036 1618.199275
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 111.015407 158.360960 230.224002 353.111458 571.440695 973.994103 1863.653284
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 102.643143 148.714801 220.150948 345.553070 575.933472 1019.247700 2058.448011
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 96.503630 141.979064 213.994473 343.772239 590.414533 1086.368818 2323.478469
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 88.433577 131.534524 200.828151 328.087733 576.006275 1091.040424 2437.562977
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 86.384905 130.630330 203.417833 341.040141 619.669126 1229.083904 2948.236635
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 84.827510 130.519434 207.531132 357.732829 674.783837 1408.864482 3667.437042
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 80.692734 125.764548 203.116556 357.553830 694.102988 1508.655450 4195.589698
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.511102 118.834786 194.210414 347.412015 689.573315 1546.942553 4537.493104
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 70.981329 112.738366 186.340671 338.520572 686.578211 1588.889591 4917.175028
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 69.328118 111.583314 187.481967 348.381814 729.532844 1769.353319 5950.108499
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 66.760566 108.607645 184.931462 350.074588 752.813741 1899.780960 6869.942946
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 63.431292 104.037902 178.971323 343.681847 754.557623 1965.097309 7538.977934
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 61.172874 101.293783 176.351643 344.426528 775.121963 2097.043835 8658.287389
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 58.194921 97.039212 170.445742 337.101026 772.836966 2152.365356 9411.203406
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 56.015165 94.163037 167.101851 335.374877 785.871686 2265.802178 10628.075770
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 52.609404 88.790300 158.368302 320.168823 758.475410 2225.399800 10823.455427